Let’s take a look at some of the players that are being reached for in the early rounds. Lots of people often claim that fantasy leagues are won after the 10th round because that’s where the sleepers are found. The guys who are taken in the 100’s and become breakout stars can definitely have a huge effect on your team, but it’s in the first seven rounds where you draft the nucleus of your team. The majority of those selections should be weekly starters, regardless of their matchup.
Arian Foster and Doug Martin: 1st Round
If Foster is your top selection, you’re putting an awful lot of faith in his ability to stay healthy and Ryan Fitzpatrick to not be awful. Foster has the ability to be a top tier RB, but it’s not worth the risk, when you can take any one of the top WRs–Demaryius, Dez, or A.J. Green. Those guys are all selected near Foster and don’t have nearly as much risk. After the top six RBs, there are very few sure things. It’s tempting to go for a stud RB with the position being so scarce, but there’s a lot of risk. At the end of the 1st round, you can always find one of the best WRs in fantasy, and that’s something I wouldn’t pass up. Doug Martin falls in the same boat as Foster. Martin is coming off of an injury, but he has less of a pedigree than Foster. Martin had a really good rookie year that was inflated because of two monster games. Beside those games, he was good, but not great. And with a new offensive coordinator, Martin will probably get a lighter workload than the previous two years.
Le’Veon Bell: 2nd Round
Another 2nd tier RB who isn’t worth their draft position this year. Bell will slip a little bit because of the impending discipline he’ll face due to his recent legal troubles. Even if Bell isn’t suspended by the league yet, he could face internal discipline from the team. And that’s not even factoring that he’s being taken too early to begin. Bell had a weak 3.5 YPC and didn’t even tally 900 rushing yards last season. Even with his 400 receiving yards, Bell isn’t worth taking in the top 20 picks. There are better options at that spot. Julio Jones, Brandon Marshall, Jordy Nelson are usually available, as are Zac Stacy and Montee Ball. Continue reading